SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
36.8% ( 0.09) | 27.16% ( 0.04) | 36.04% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.18) | 55.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.15) | 76.27% ( 0.15) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.03) | 28.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( -0.04) | 64.61% ( 0.04) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.17) | 29.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.21) | 65.18% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.04% |
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