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National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
AT

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Alfreton

Carline (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
45.72%26.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 48.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)59.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8%36.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 45.71%
    Alfreton Town 27.34%
    Draw 26.93%
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.5%
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North


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