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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
26.75% ( 0.3) | 25.89% ( 0.06) | 47.36% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.02) | 52.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.02) | 74.56% ( 0.02) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.23) | 34.73% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( 0.25) | 71.46% ( -0.24) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( -0.17) | 22.36% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( -0.25) | 55.85% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.75% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.36% |
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