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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
69.96% ( 0.75) | 18.02% ( -0.45) | 12.02% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 1.3) | 40.91% ( -1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 1.32) | 63.3% ( -1.32) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( 0.55) | 10.53% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.77% ( 1.23) | 34.23% ( -1.23) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.34) | 44.37% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.57% ( 0.28) | 80.43% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.95% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.02% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.02% |
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