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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
44.53% ( -0.09) | 25.84% ( 0.03) | 29.64% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -0.07) | 51.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.06) | 73.02% ( 0.06) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.08) | 22.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -0.11) | 56.67% ( 0.11) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( 0.01) | 31.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( 0.01) | 67.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.64% |
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