SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.16% ( 0.63) | 25.29% ( -0.2) | 34.55% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( 0.82) | 47.26% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.76) | 69.49% ( -0.75) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.69) | 23.33% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( 0.99) | 57.29% ( -0.99) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.13) | 26.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.18) | 61.56% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
