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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
42.12% ( -0.26) | 24.37% | 33.51% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.08) | 43.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( 0.08) | 65.66% ( -0.08) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.08) | 20.67% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -0.13) | 53.25% ( 0.13) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.19) | 25.12% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( 0.26) | 59.82% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.51% |
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