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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
30.4% ( 0.3) | 24.84% ( -0.18) | 44.76% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( 0.95) | 46.56% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( 0.89) | 68.83% ( -0.89) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( 0.68) | 28.69% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( 0.84) | 64.51% ( -0.85) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.34) | 20.86% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( 0.53) | 53.55% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.76% |
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