SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Always Ready | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
52.97% ( 0.14) | 23.23% ( -0.05) | 23.8% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( 0.14) | 44.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( 0.14) | 66.67% ( -0.14) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.1) | 16.7% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( 0.18) | 46.59% ( -0.18) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0) | 32.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( -0) | 69.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Always Ready | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.8% |
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