SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
52.02% ( 1.27) | 23.89% ( -0.29) | 24.08% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( 0.37) | 46.91% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( 0.34) | 69.16% ( -0.34) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( 0.63) | 18.02% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( 1.07) | 48.89% ( -1.07) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.64) | 33.7% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( -0.7) | 70.35% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.08% |
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