Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.
-0.17) 
0.13) 
