SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
27.1% ( -0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.11) | 48.97% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( -0.49) | 44.5% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( -0.48) | 66.87% ( 0.47) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -0.26) | 29.98% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( -0.31) | 66.1% ( 0.31) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.23) | 18.28% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( -0.39) | 49.34% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.97% |
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