SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
61.23% ( 0.05) | 21.05% ( -0.04) | 17.72% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( 0.16) | 42.64% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( 0.16) | 65.05% ( -0.15) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( 0.07) | 13.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.59% ( 0.13) | 40.41% ( -0.13) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.07) | 37.58% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( 0.07) | 74.36% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 61.22% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.72% |
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