SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Anderlecht |
28.95% ( 0.27) | 23.67% ( 0.1) | 47.37% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.31) | 42.04% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.31) | 64.45% ( 0.31) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.03) | 27.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( 0.04) | 62.86% ( -0.04) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.27) | 17.95% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( -0.46) | 48.78% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.37% |
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