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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
45.84% ( 0.16) | 23.5% ( 0.13) | 30.65% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.75) | 40.3% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.78) | 62.68% ( 0.78) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.23) | 17.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% ( -0.4) | 48.66% ( 0.4) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.55) | 25.41% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% ( -0.76) | 60.23% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65% |
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