SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
61.52% ( 0.36) | 19.51% ( -0.23) | 18.97% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.9) | 33.23% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.01% ( 1.02) | 54.98% ( -1.02) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.51% ( 0.35) | 10.48% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.87% ( 0.8) | 34.13% ( -0.8) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( 0.41) | 30.62% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( 0.48) | 66.85% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.52% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 18.97% |
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