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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
39.54% ( 0.29) | 24.94% ( -0.07) | 35.51% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.31) | 45.52% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.29) | 67.85% ( -0.29) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.28) | 22.88% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.41) | 56.62% ( -0.41) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.02) | 25.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% ( 0.03) | 59.69% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.51% |
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