SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
51.22% ( 0.08) | 21.95% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.07) | 35.41% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.56% ( 0.07) | 57.44% ( -0.07) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( 0.05) | 14.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( 0.1) | 41.77% ( -0.09) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0) | 25.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0) | 60.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.84% |
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