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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
48.25% ( 4.9) | 23.34% ( -0.38) | 28.4% ( -4.52) |
| Both teams to score 60.3% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% ( -0.5) | 40.9% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( -0.51) | 63.28% ( 0.51) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 1.77) | 17.17% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 3.02) | 47.43% ( -3.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -3.09) | 27.19% ( 3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -4.21) | 62.6% ( 4.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.63)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.56)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.71) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.62)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.4% |
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