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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
42.57% ( 0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( -0.07) | 53.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.06) | 74.6% ( 0.06) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( -0.02) | 59.19% ( 0.02) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.07) | 31.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31% |
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