SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
37.16% ( -0.02) | 25.88% ( 0) | 36.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0) | 49.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0) | 71.65% ( 0.01) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.01) | 26.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.02) | 61.04% ( 0.02) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.01) | 26.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.01) | 61.19% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.96% |
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