SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Arbroath |
45.55% ( 0.29) | 23.56% ( -0.07) | 30.88% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.23) | 40.49% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( 0.23) | 62.87% ( -0.23) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.21) | 18.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.35) | 48.99% ( -0.35) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.03) | 60.16% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
