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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
46.33% ( 0.14) | 24.58% ( 0.14) | 29.08% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.78) | 46.11% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.74) | 68.41% ( 0.73) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.26) | 19.99% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( -0.41) | 52.17% ( 0.41) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -0.59) | 29.37% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -0.73) | 65.35% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.08% |
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