SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
36.21% ( -1.05) | 27.45% ( 0.08) | 36.33% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.27) | 56.15% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -0.22) | 77.21% ( 0.22) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.77) | 29.69% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.95) | 65.74% ( 0.94) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( 0.47) | 29.61% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( 0.57) | 65.65% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.33% |
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