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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
24.36% ( -0.1) | 23.84% ( -0.04) | 51.79% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.07) | 46.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.06) | 68.7% ( -0.07) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( -0.06) | 69.79% ( 0.05) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.08) | 17.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( 0.13) | 48.73% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.36% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.79% |
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