SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
37.97% ( -0.42) | 27.46% ( 0.1) | 34.57% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% ( -0.34) | 56.29% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( -0.28) | 77.32% ( 0.28) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0.41) | 28.7% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.52) | 64.52% ( 0.52) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( 0.04) | 30.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( 0.04) | 67.06% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.56% |
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