SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
50.37% ( 0.05) | 27.63% ( -0.04) | 21.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.61% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.55% ( 0.14) | 62.45% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.93% ( 0.1) | 82.07% ( -0.1) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( 0.08) | 25.09% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( 0.12) | 59.79% ( -0.12) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.08) | 44.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.51% ( 0.07) | 80.49% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 50.37% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.99% |
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