Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.27) 
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