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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Sep 2, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

de Blasis (86' pen.)
Fernandez (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Prieto (32'), Mac Allister (37'), Galvan (86'), Rodriguez (86'), Herrera (89'), Alvarez (90+1')
Galvan (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, August 26 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Huracan
Saturday, August 24 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
39.74% (0.135 0.13) 28.57% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 31.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.55% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.25% (0.16 0.16)60.75% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19% (0.12 0.12)80.8% (-0.122 -0.12)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.15700000000001 0.16)29.84% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.191 0.19)65.92% (-0.193 -0.19)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (0.025000000000006 0.03)35.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (0.028000000000002 0.03)71.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 39.73%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.68%
    Draw 28.56%
GimnasiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, August 26 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, August 10 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, August 10 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Rosario
Monday, August 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Rosario
Monday, August 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Huracan
Saturday, August 24 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 3-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, August 19 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Sarmiento
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, August 3 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Lanus
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division


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