SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
39.74% ( 0.13) | 28.57% ( -0.05) | 31.69% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% ( 0.16) | 60.75% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( 0.12) | 80.8% ( -0.12) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.16) | 29.84% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.19) | 65.92% ( -0.19) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( 0.03) | 35.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% ( 0.03) | 71.83% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.68% |
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