SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
42.58% ( -0.05) | 28.31% ( 0.41) | 29.11% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.26% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( -1.53) | 60.63% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -1.17) | 80.71% ( 1.17) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( -0.75) | 28.18% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( -0.97) | 63.87% ( 0.97) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -1.11) | 36.97% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -1.13) | 73.76% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.1% |
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