SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAOK |
26.63% ( 0.29) | 23.62% ( 0) | 49.75% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( 0.19) | 43.49% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( 0.19) | 65.88% ( -0.2) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( 0.32) | 29.81% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( 0.39) | 65.89% ( -0.39) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.04) | 17.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.07) | 48.16% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAOK |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.63% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.75% |
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