SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAOK |
42.96% ( 0.12) | 25.77% ( -0.02) | 31.27% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.06) | 50.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( 0.05) | 72.18% ( -0.05) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.08) | 23.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( 0.12) | 57.17% ( -0.12) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( -0.03) | 29.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( -0.04) | 66.05% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.27% |
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