SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
36.46% ( 0.04) | 26.96% ( -0.01) | 36.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( 0.03) | 54.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( 0.03) | 75.61% ( -0.03) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( 0.04) | 28.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( 0.05) | 64.38% ( -0.05) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0) | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0) | 64.29% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.57% |
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