Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
