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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
50.14% ( -0.09) | 20.01% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 74.07% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.02) | 23.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.02) | 42.9% ( 0.02) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.03) | 10.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.39% ( -0.07) | 33.6% ( 0.06) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0.03) | 17.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( 0.05) | 47.94% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 29.83% |
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