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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
45.25% ( 0.08) | 22.24% ( -0) | 32.51% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 66.95% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.01) | 33.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.01% ( -0.01) | 54.99% ( 0.01) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.03) | 15.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.88% ( 0.05) | 44.12% ( -0.05) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.05) | 20.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( -0.08) | 53.64% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 32.51% |
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