SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
32.59% ( -1.53) | 22.94% ( -0.16) | 44.47% ( 1.69) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.28) | 36.7% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.14% ( 0.31) | 58.86% ( -0.31) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -0.7) | 22.52% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( -1.06) | 56.09% ( 1.05) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0.79) | 17% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( 1.38) | 47.12% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.14)Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.47% |
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