SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
46.73% ( 0.04) | 22.66% ( 0.01) | 30.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.32% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.06) | 36.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( -0.07) | 58.38% ( 0.07) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.01) | 15.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( -0.02) | 45.28% ( 0.02) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.06) | 23.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.08) | 57.46% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.8% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.61% |
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