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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 0
Arsenal U21s

De Havilland (36'), Clarke-Harris (39'), Mothersille (49')
Collins (43'), Clarke-Harris (60'), Mothersille (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Monlouis (9')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Peterborough United and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 5-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
70.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 16.12% (0.0039999999999978 0) 13.53% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.09% (-0.012 -0.01)47.91% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)6.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.43% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)25.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.52% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 70.35%
    Arsenal Under-21s 13.54%
    Draw 16.12%
Peterborough UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 8.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.46%
4-2 @ 2.97%
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 70.35%
1-1 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.12%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 13.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-3 Man City U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 6-3 Brighton U21s
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Exeter 0-5 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Everton U21s 1-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 2-4 Arsenal U21s
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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