SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
86.59% ( 0.09) | 9.24% ( -0.06) | 4.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.41% ( 0.2) | 26.58% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.26) | 46.96% ( -0.26) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.92% ( 0.05) | 4.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.88% ( 0.15) | 17.12% ( -0.16) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.16% ( 0.05) | 53.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.82% ( 0.03) | 87.17% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 86.58% | 1-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 9.24% | 0-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 4.17% |
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