SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
16.41% ( -0.02) | 20.14% ( 0.07) | 63.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.35) | 40.86% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.36) | 63.25% ( 0.36) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( -0.24) | 38.07% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( -0.23) | 74.84% ( 0.24) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( -0.12) | 12.24% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.04% ( -0.25) | 37.96% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.41% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.14% | 0-2 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 63.46% |
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