SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
68.5% ( 1.15) | 17.57% ( -0.42) | 13.93% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.16% ( 0.36) | 33.84% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.31% ( 0.41) | 55.68% ( -0.41) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% ( 0.36) | 9% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.34% ( 0.85) | 30.66% ( -0.86) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% ( -0.75) | 36.84% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.36% ( -0.76) | 73.63% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
| 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.85% Total : 68.5% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.93% |
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