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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Arsenal Women

James (15'), Nusken (21', 32')
Hampton (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Macario (86' og.)
McCabe (42'), Lacasse (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
32.1% (0.25 0.25) 24.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 43.55% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.94% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)43.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.03% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (0.17 0.17)26.15% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (0.223 0.22)61.22% (-0.223 -0.22)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)20.19% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (-0.174 -0.17)52.49% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 32.1%
    Arsenal Women 43.55%
    Draw 24.35%
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.1%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-4 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Man City Women
Friday, February 16 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Everton Ladies
Sunday, February 4 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Paris 0-4 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, January 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Arsenal Women
Saturday, December 16 at 12pm in Women's Super League


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