Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
32.1% ( 0.25) | 24.35% ( 0.02) | 43.55% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( 0.02) | 43.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.96% ( 0.02) | 66.03% ( -0.02) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( 0.17) | 26.15% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( 0.22) | 61.22% ( -0.22) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.11) | 20.19% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.51% ( -0.17) | 52.49% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.1% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: