Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.