Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 72.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.