Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.
0.17) 
-0.46) 
