Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.18) 
