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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Allianz Parque
G

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Gremio

Willian (73')
Cerqueira (16'), Gomez (32'), Willian (74'), Rios (86'), Mayke (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jemerson (26'), Villasanti (28'), Monsalve (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras
Monday, November 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Gremio
Saturday, November 2 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 14.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawGremio
65.69% (3.626 3.63) 19.62% (-0.649 -0.65) 14.69% (-2.979 -2.98)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-4.675 -4.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-2.805 -2.81)41.92% (2.802 2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-2.882 -2.88)64.32% (2.879 2.88)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (0.15899999999999 0.16)11.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.68% (0.34 0.34)37.32% (-0.343 -0.34)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (-5.427 -5.43)40.95% (5.423 5.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (-5.221 -5.22)77.51% (5.22 5.22)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 65.68%
    Gremio 14.69%
    Draw 19.62%
PalmeirasDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.04% (1.452 1.45)
1-0 @ 10.39% (1.31 1.31)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.82% (1.074 1.07)
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.593 0.59)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.497 -0.5)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.262 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.252 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 65.68%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.59 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.733 -0.73)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.62%
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.721 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.445 -0.45)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras
Monday, November 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 3-5 Palmeiras
Monday, October 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Gremio
Saturday, November 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Atletico GO
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Gremio
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio
Wednesday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, September 29 at 1am in Brasileiro


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