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Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2024 at 9pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
P

Bahia
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Rodriguez (27')
Gilberto (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veiga (41'), Manuel Lopez (89')
Rocha (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras

With the hosts winless in their last five matches, including four losses, and the visitors determined to close the gap on league leaders Botafogo, we predict a Palmeiras victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
BahiaDrawPalmeiras
33.02% (0.411 0.41) 27.11% (-0.13 -0.13) 39.87% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 50.15% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (0.59 0.59)55.14% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.485 0.48)76.39% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.57899999999999 0.58)31.23% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.671 0.67)67.58% (-0.672 -0.67)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.122 0.12)27.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.16 0.16)62.44% (-0.161 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 33.02%
    Palmeiras 39.86%
    Draw 27.1%
BahiaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 3-2 Bahia
Tuesday, October 29 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-2 Flamengo
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Criciuma
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras
Monday, November 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 3-5 Palmeiras
Monday, October 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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