With the hosts winless in their last five matches, including four losses, and the visitors determined to close the gap on league leaders Botafogo, we predict a Palmeiras victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.