SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 42.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Racing Club |
28.07% ( -0.97) | 29.73% ( 0.01) | 42.2% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 41.16% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.35) | 65.47% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.78% ( -0.24) | 84.22% ( 0.24) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( -1.01) | 40.54% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% ( -0.92) | 77.14% ( 0.92) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.38) | 30.78% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( 0.45) | 67.05% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.32% Total : 28.06% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.72% | 0-1 @ 14.7% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.29)1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.2% |
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