SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
29.56% ( -0.39) | 28.53% ( -0.01) | 41.91% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.1) | 61.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( -0.07) | 81.13% ( 0.07) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.36) | 36.92% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.36) | 73.71% ( 0.36) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.17) | 28.81% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( 0.21) | 64.67% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.9% |
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